New China numbers last night were fine and actually give some reason for hope on the imports side, if this is truly supposed to be a change of character for the world’s second largest economy.
That’s right, move over Japan, China is ahead as of the end Q1.
Exports were up 21 percent in January from 2009, and imports expanded 85.5 percent year-over-year.
Remember that China is closed all next week. If it is truly generating domestic demand, this offsets a slower G3. You can’t remove G3 demand, but I don’t think that’s happening.
I believe we at least have a restocking cycle that can continue until more organic growth is established. I again also point to China auto sales numbers yesterday (+113 percent yoy). This is very impressive.