As we see the US emerge from the winter hibernation (Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Jobless Claims), we are also seeing signs of Emerging Markets recovery on Macro.
The recent Emerging Market rally is built off a combination of fundamental and technical factors.
India elections will start on April 7th and last into May 16th. Significant change has been priced into the SENEX (see chart below) into the event. Are investors set up disappointment?
I am starting to get a lot of questions from investors regarding the sustainability of this rally in Emerging Markets and what can be the drivers for the next leg(s) higher.
Recall walking through the ubiquitous chain drug store near you to see the cologne shelves where the knock-off brands advertised “If you like Paco Rabanne, you’ll love ‘Paul Raven’ cologne.” Basically it smells the same but is a lot cheaper.