Emerging Money http://emergingmoney.com Your Ticket Around The World Fri, 09 Dec 2016 19:43:56 +0000 en hourly 1 36036841 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call December 9 http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-december-9-2/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-december-9-2/#respond Fri, 09 Dec 2016 18:22:47 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=152409 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call December 9 -The calendar is friend and foe.  The year-end rally meets the Fed square, head-on next week.

Today the market is telling a story of where both have something to day.

Rates and the USD are higher, cyclical rotation in line with reflation is trading well…yet again.

Airlines are [...]

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call December 9 -The calendar is friend and foe.  The year-end rally meets the Fed square, head-on next week.

Phone AudioToday the market is telling a story of where both have something to day.

Rates and the USD are higher, cyclical rotation in line with reflation is trading well…yet again.

Airlines are announcing very decent passenger update data and despite being all-time highs we still like the trade.  We tell you why.

OPEC meets no-OPEC.  What to make of this weekend’s Vienna gathering?

Tune into your account for more information.

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call December 7 http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-december-7-4/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-december-7-4/#respond Wed, 07 Dec 2016 18:06:39 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=152183 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call December 7 - Complacency starting to loom large out there as we get into the final few weeks of the year and all kinds of reasons to say stocks are moving higher. 

We are raising a caution flag or two and will tell you why.

ECB tomorrow may actually be [...]

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call December 7 - Complacency starting to loom large out there as we get into the final few weeks of the year and all kinds of reasons to say stocks are moving higher. 

Phone AudioWe are raising a caution flag or two and will tell you why.

ECB tomorrow may actually be a bullish flag for Gold, EM and weak Dollar assets.  We tell you why…

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call December 6 http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-december-6-2/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-december-6-2/#respond Tue, 06 Dec 2016 18:24:41 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=152054 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call December 6 - On the call today we discuss what appears to have been the “trump moment” for EU banks in the form of the Italian referendum.

We discuss the view and where the lagging EU financial sector could go even with a small dose of profitability.

Volatility is again [...]

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call December 6 - On the call today we discuss what appears to have been the “trump moment” for EU banks in the form of the Italian referendum.

Phone AudioWe discuss the view and where the lagging EU financial sector could go even with a small dose of profitability.

Volatility is again too low for the world we live in.  How should you play defense over the next 1-3 months?

EM markets and their currencies are slowly clawing back off the mat.  We highlight important trading ranges in the ETF and where we are focusing below the surface including Russia.

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call December 1 http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-december-1-5/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-december-1-5/#respond Thu, 01 Dec 2016 21:44:19 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=151584 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call December 1 - We still maintain the Fed is the most important driver for markets in the short to medium term.

Today’s move in rates reminds us that there is discomfort that comes with any disorderly move even if this is what we asked for.

Tomorrow’s NFP report therefore means [...]

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call December 1 - We still maintain the Fed is the most important driver for markets in the short to medium term.

Phone AudioToday’s move in rates reminds us that there is discomfort that comes with any disorderly move even if this is what we asked for.

Tomorrow’s NFP report therefore means we could be looking at bad news being good news again if we seek to damp down the rates curve.

Brazil – opportunity or reason for fear after today’s probe headlines have this Latam country -18% in 27 sessions.

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 30 http://emergingmoney.com/audio/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-november-30-2/ http://emergingmoney.com/audio/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-november-30-2/#respond Wed, 30 Nov 2016 17:06:30 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=151443 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 30 - Today markets are focused on OPEC, the Dollar and Rates.

All with strength and the rates concerns and USD strength taking some bite out of the lateral trade from higher oil.

Brent holding big gains but the EM and broader resources trade not so much.

What is [...]

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 30 - Today markets are focused on OPEC, the Dollar and Rates.

Phone AudioAll with strength and the rates concerns and USD strength taking some bite out of the lateral trade from higher oil.

Brent holding big gains but the EM and broader resources trade not so much.

What is the problem with higher confidence and expectations in the new Trump economic plan and appointments?  We will tell you…

China reports PMI tonight and we have a non-industrial way to play China that offers nice dividend opportunities as well.

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 29 http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-november-29-2/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-november-29-2/#respond Tue, 29 Nov 2016 22:42:03 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=151330 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 29 - On the call today we discuss whether a backward looking GDP means anything unless it is coupled with a backward looking Case Shiller Housing Index.  Confused? 

Many investors don’t know what to do with data that reflects old macro but is in line with trends we are [...]

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 29 - On the call today we discuss whether a backward looking GDP means anything unless it is coupled with a backward looking Case Shiller Housing Index.  Confused? 

Phone AudioMany investors don’t know what to do with data that reflects old macro but is in line with trends we are seeing for the consumer elsewhere.

Oil is front and center tomorrow and we have a view that based on logic says they will cut and could surprise to the upside.

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 28 http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-november-28-3/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-november-28-3/#respond Mon, 28 Nov 2016 16:43:54 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=151184 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 28 - Headlines will dominate the investment world this week as we race into year end with the Fed, Oil, and European politics added to the mystery, madness and merriment of the Trump cabinet sweepstakes.

On the call today we spend a lot of time on OPEC and the [...]

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 28 - Headlines will dominate the investment world this week as we race into year end with the Fed, Oil, and European politics added to the mystery, madness and merriment of the Trump cabinet sweepstakes.

Phone AudioOn the call today we spend a lot of time on OPEC and the dynamics driving not only the Vienna discussions but the underlying equities we are tracking.

The payroll number on Friday has the potential to tip the apple cart further towards more Fed rather than less Fed in 2017.

What are yearend and 2017 targets on rates and the Dollar and how do they feed into your Emerging Market strategy?

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 25 http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-november-25-5/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-november-25-5/#respond Fri, 25 Nov 2016 14:49:23 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=150969 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 25 - Black Friday is a great term but for many retailers they will be in the red after delivering more promotions than ever in the ever-competitive retail brick and mortar vs online battle.

We give you some thoughts on who wins and who loses and where we have [...]

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 25 - Black Friday is a great term but for many retailers they will be in the red after delivering more promotions than ever in the ever-competitive retail brick and mortar vs online battle.

Phone AudioWe give you some thoughts on who wins and who loses and where we have already priced in the holiday season.

OPEC is finally ready to live up to their reputation of never delivering on promises or will catch the market offsides.  Market positioning into OPEC tells us that the risk is to the upside in the commodity and downside in the oil equities.

Have a great long weekend.

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 23 http://emergingmoney.com/audio/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-november-23-4/ http://emergingmoney.com/audio/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-november-23-4/#respond Wed, 23 Nov 2016 14:54:52 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=150974 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 23 - Investors should stay focused on rates, Dollar, Yuan and Copper as we move into a Holiday schedule in the US as 2yr Note rates are at 6.5year highs, the USD is further along into 13yr highs and the 10yr UST has now retraced back to last summer’s [...]

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 23 - Investors should stay focused on rates, Dollar, Yuan and Copper as we move into a Holiday schedule in the US as 2yr Note rates are at 6.5year highs, the USD is further along into 13yr highs and the 10yr UST has now retraced back to last summer’s highs(2015).

OPEC meets next week but oil equities may have spoken.  What do we mean?

EM bonds continue to sell off a short week after the largest exodus from EM bond funds in history.  What does this tell us about investing in EM equities?

Get your calendar out and also your helmet as we enter a friendly seasonal backdrop with some huge event risk hanging over markets.

Have a great Thanksgiving!

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 22 http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-november-22-2/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-november-22-2/#respond Tue, 22 Nov 2016 19:17:15 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=150645 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 22 - We have discussed reflation trades for 12 months. 

We were early in 4Q 2015 and then right in line off the lows…  Now where are we?

Relative value is the way to play this reversion to the mean trade(not necessarily fiscal reinvention).  We also take a look [...]

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call November 22 - We have discussed reflation trades for 12 months. 

Phone AudioWe were early in 4Q 2015 and then right in line off the lows…  Now where are we?

Relative value is the way to play this reversion to the mean trade(not necessarily fiscal reinvention).  We also take a look back at the CBR for some perspective on this suddenly vogue trade.

Oil: What is the word going into Vienna?

Emerging Markets have rallied back to a couple key technical markers.

What should traders do with EM po0sitions into a suddenly “low vol” environment?

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