Emerging Money http://emergingmoney.com Your Ticket Around The World Fri, 22 Jul 2016 23:00:38 +0000 en hourly 1 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 22 http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-july-22-3/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-july-22-3/#respond Fri, 22 Jul 2016 15:23:16 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=137037 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 22 - On the call today we review market dynamics surrounding FX, Bonds and equities.

The US data points continue better than expected while UK posted a dismal post-Brexit print.  Europe meanwhile moves sideways and this may be enough to keep the Euro from slipping much against the USD.

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 22 - On the call today we review market dynamics surrounding FX, Bonds and equities.

Phone AudioThe US data points continue better than expected while UK posted a dismal post-Brexit print.  Europe meanwhile moves sideways and this may be enough to keep the Euro from slipping much against the USD.

The Dollar is still key for EM and resource trades but we are seeing resilience that is playing into fundamentals.  You may be hearing more and more about the falling correlation between the USD and EM and commodities.  You should listen.

Oil trades:  On the call we frame the prevailing oil view in the HF community and guide investors where we would take a shot and where we caution on being too cute in trading sentiment if the medium term view into 2017 is that oi continues to tighten.

Have a great weekend.

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Fast Money Final Trade July 21 – SBUX http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/fast-money-final-trade-july-21-sbux/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/fast-money-final-trade-july-21-sbux/#respond Fri, 22 Jul 2016 13:49:09 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=137019 The Fast Money traders shared their first moves for the market open on July 22

Tim Seymour sticked with Starbucks (SBUX, quote), which had reported quarterly numbers after Thursday's close.

Karen Finerman was a seller of United Rentals (URI, quote).

Brian Kelly was a buyer of the [...]]]> var videoPage; videoPage = "12";

The Fast Money traders shared their first moves for the market open on July 22

Tim Seymour sticked with Starbucks (SBUX, quote), which had reported quarterly numbers after Thursday's close.

Karen Finerman was a seller of United Rentals (URI, quote).

Brian Kelly was a buyer of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT, quote).

Guy Adami was a buyer of Newmont Mining (NEM, quote).

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 21 http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-july-21-4/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-july-21-4/#respond Thu, 21 Jul 2016 14:32:02 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=136890 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 21 - On the call today we reference earnings season as we assess how much the SPX and global risk assets can drift higher.

A move higher in bond yields is slowly taking place and this could be a sign of strength for markets but ultimately should be an [...]]]> Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 21 - On the call today we reference earnings season as we assess how much the SPX and global risk assets can drift higher.

Phone AudioA move higher in bond yields is slowly taking place and this could be a sign of strength for markets but ultimately should be an area of concern.

You can't have it both ways.

Is China friend or foe right now?

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 20 http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-july-20-2/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-july-20-2/#respond Wed, 20 Jul 2016 15:21:11 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=136742 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 20 - Markets higher around the world as US earnings and macro data points are supportive to equity valuations in a world gone mad on bond yields.

On the call we review our strategy on China and why we think China is a tailwind for equities in the medium [...]]]> Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 20 - Markets higher around the world as US earnings and macro data points are supportive to equity valuations in a world gone mad on bond yields.

Phone AudioOn the call we review our strategy on China and why we think China is a tailwind for equities in the medium term in a world without the Fed and excessive BOJ and ECB policy.

EM equities set to recapture recent highs but we are watching a 5.5% move in the DXY off the lows tempering any runaway hopes.

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 19 http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-july-19-2/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-july-19-2/#respond Tue, 19 Jul 2016 14:55:05 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=136575 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 19 - On the call today we discuss trading ranges and market appetite for risk.

Despite the presence of enormous uncertainties in the global economy and political dynamics across Europe, US, and Latam, markets want to trade higher.

We get tactical on metals and mining names as the [...]]]> Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 19 - On the call today we discuss trading ranges and market appetite for risk.

Phone AudioDespite the presence of enormous uncertainties in the global economy and political dynamics across Europe, US, and Latam, markets want to trade higher.

We get tactical on metals and mining names as the Dollar trades higher.

Turkey is now a few days post-coup and we assess the market impact of higher political risk and the CBT’s rate cut today.

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Turkey crisis explained http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/turkey-crisis-explained/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/turkey-crisis-explained/#respond Mon, 18 Jul 2016 12:39:53 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=136404 CNBC's Hadley Gamble explains the reasons behind the attempted coup in Turkey (TUR, quote) and what comes next.

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Published on Jul 18, 2016

CNBC's Hadley Gamble explains the reasons behind the attempted coup in Turkey (TUR, quote) and what comes next.

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 15 http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-july-15-5/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-july-15-5/#respond Fri, 15 Jul 2016 20:56:50 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=136200 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 15 - On the call today we remind investors the delicate relationship between emerging markets and the USD.  

Today's US retail sales number is more evidence of a US economy that is not only very much not recessionary but may be accelerating into the second half of the year.

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 15 - On the call today we remind investors the delicate relationship between emerging markets and the USD.  

Phone AudioToday's US retail sales number is more evidence of a US economy that is not only very much not recessionary but may be accelerating into the second half of the year.

Risk assets and reflation Trades will struggle at first with the concept of better growth leading to more Fed.

Higher yielding rates markets and currencies will continue to support EM bonds which will support EM equities.

Have a great weekend and stay safe.

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 14 http://emergingmoney.com/emerging-markets-insight/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-july-14-4/ http://emergingmoney.com/emerging-markets-insight/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-july-14-4/#respond Thu, 14 Jul 2016 21:20:40 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=136041 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 14 -  The beat goes on with drivers for today's rally much of the same remaining on payrolls plus Japan plus weaker pound albeit moving higher now.

We'll look at resilience on the US yield curve as we see some steeping now. As well as  earnings from J.P. Morgan [...]]]> Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 14 -  The beat goes on with drivers for today's rally much of the same remaining on payrolls plus Japan plus weaker pound albeit moving higher now.

Phone AudioWe'll look at resilience on the US yield curve as we see some steeping now. As well as  earnings from J.P. Morgan which send the signal that the economy is not as weak as everybody thinks.

We look into the transport after yesterday CSX as well as handful of other signals that indicate the global economy is better and yet we have the Fed talking about caution.

 

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Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 12 http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-july-12-2/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/emerging-money-daily-audio-call-july-12-2/#respond Tue, 12 Jul 2016 18:18:15 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=135720 Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 12 - Big Ben goes to Japan and suddenly the world thinks there is more fun and games?

Not quite, Bond investors realize yields could be too low even when evaluating a post-Brexit world.

At some point investors reach for assets and that is supporting EM and Resource trades [...]]]> Emerging Money Daily Audio Call July 12 - Big Ben goes to Japan and suddenly the world thinks there is more fun and games?

Phone AudioNot quite, Bond investors realize yields could be too low even when evaluating a post-Brexit world.

At some point investors reach for assets and that is supporting EM and Resource trades today.

On the call today we highlight trading strategies on:

  • Russia
  • Mexico
  • Korea
  • And address the steeping yield curve for US banks

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EM Spread to SPX and Brexit As A Catalyst http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/em-spread-to-spx-and-brexit-as-a-catalyst-2/ http://emergingmoney.com/analysis/em-spread-to-spx-and-brexit-as-a-catalyst-2/#respond Tue, 12 Jul 2016 17:44:00 +0000 http://emergingmoney.com/?p=135702 Emerging Market equities continue to rally outright and relative to the SPX with key technical levels being hit to tell us the rally is going higher. The argument is not a technical one but rather that is some support for the reversal. Reversing the direction of the $EEM vs the $SPY is still in the [...]]]> Emerging Market equities continue to rally outright and relative to the SPX with key technical levels being hit to tell us the rally is going higher. The argument is not a technical one but rather that is some support for the reversal. Reversing the direction of the $EEM vs the $SPY is still in the early stages of what has been a painful 5+ year run of underperformance going back to late 2010.

Emerging marketsEM assets today trade at their highs for the year ($35.35, +4.8% YTD) and are now 24.7% off the January lows for the asset class.

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